Monday, July 17, 2006

Mr. Annan and Mr. Blair has the best idea. But a difficult one.

This is simply my humble opinoin. The deployment will be difficult and somewhat lengthy until the diplomatic front is stable and in control.

To deploy an International Forces along Israel's borders to stop the conflict requries tenacious diplomatic confrontation as well. Diplomatically it has been the history between any border country and Israel to allow 'purging' releases of prisoners to quell violence as part of a 'truce' toward peace. It has short lived effectiveness.

To put it briefly, this deployment of International Forces will be difficult. It is not as simple as border guards. Hezbollah's reach is throughout a stronghold in southern Lebanon which also extends to Syria. The deployment is not just one of 'stopping' an aggression. Israel is not being aggressive so much as defensive. Stopping Israel is the simple part, it is stopping an anarchic Hezbollah with vast military resources from Iran that will be not only difficult but very dangerous.


The IDF and IAF are very familiar with the terrain, so to speak, and while this deployment is the best idea possible there has to be linked to it very aggressive and AGREEABLE diplomatic relations between the International Parties, Lebanon, Syuria and Iran to stop the supply lines, illegal alliances and the bolstering of any and all militant elements at all of Israel's borders. Where one front is quelled WITHOUT complete cooperation by all governments involved the circumstances will only flair elsewhere. The International Forces are facing not only an 'al Qaeda' like terrorist network but one that has infiltrated over decades government infrastructure of all these countries. The alliances of Hezbollah within Syria and supported militarily by Iran are not based in any truth of religious basis so much as Anti-Semistism and frank power thrist.

It is my belief some of what sparks these attacks is the 'clout' brought by the violence. That violence always has a goal and easily linked to prisoner releases. Those prisoner releases have to stop as a 'cleansing event.' It doesn't satisfy Hezbollah or Hamas and acts as a political directive of the electorate in elections there. In other words, electing Hamas also was to insure enough violence against Israel to release very danger characters back to their homeland. There is however, a basic underlying hatred to the violence of Israel. Prioviding more soldiers to the terrorist networks/regimes only creates a backlash of more violence against Israel and that has been repeated experienced after any prisoner release. These are not just humanitarian releases, they come with a price to the prisoner as well to rejoin efforts to destroy Israel.

In all of this it is avvery definitive role of the Geneva Conventions to insure there is no prisoner abuse or torture, which I am confident is the exactly the case in Israel. Israel has a long history of prisoner releases with no overt evidence of torture or poor conditions. It is also the responsibility of the Geneva Conventions to insure the 'cases' charged of those prisoners are moved along in a speedy enough fashion to show resolve to guilt or innocence. To that end, an International Court might be welcome by Israel to relieve it's system of the burden of carrying out so many trials at once to satiate both sides and PROVIDE real criminals with incarceration.

This is a complex task for the Internatinoal Theater. Britain is already and effectively deployed in Afghanistan with NATO and having an unstable Iraq is grossly an issue when militants there serve a violent reach to date all the way to Jordan. The dynamics are huge but not impossible. Iran has to stop it's rhetoric and countries traditionally leaders of 'the peace' of the Middle East, namely Egypt, Jordan and Israel should surmount a very visible campaign in that direction. Not only that but Saudi Arabia with it's new King can be a great asset to that already established trio. King Abdullah has begun a very comprehensive set of values for social stability and change in Saudi Arabia. He has also strong relationships with President Assad. All those dynamics could add to the stability of the region and provide example to confused leadership as in the UAE as to the direction social dynamics need to take.

I admire Mr. Blair and Mr. Annan for coming forward with this statement and plan. I also appreciate the Russian perspective of seeking facts to all parties interest but with the focus on peace and not further destabilization by including sincerely 'terrorist' regimes to become permanent residents to the region.

Good Luck to all, I have a feeling Israel will be in the military dynamics for a while until the International Forces have a comprehensive plan of deployment which NATO can help supply while not committing troops to the purpose and further weaken the forces in Afghanistan.