Let's get something straight. The Climate Crisis has been listed as a National Security issue. This is why. It causes huge issues with instability and could easily cause changes in nations borders. The Climate Crisis is causing death, disease and adversity on a daily basis. KINDLY get your minds around that. Jeeze.
This map denotes flooded districts and then states severe affected districts. With over 50% of the country flooded, government support is extremely difficult if not impossible.
There is and will be continued infiltration of Afghanistan from Pakistan due to the loss of tribal regions. The increased instability in Afghanistan is due to tribal population changes and retaking of lands due to displacement.
The media can call them 'insurgents' if they like, but, the dynamics may prove to take on a neutral character over time as fighting between the tribes quell.
I am not saying mass migration of the Taliban is a good thing, but, I am saying the 'noted' increase in 'danger' to native Afghans is not due necessarily to anything except displacement. The Taliban are not peaceful people and they are fighting for their lives in some ways. The war in Afghanistan is proving to be less effective because 'counter insurgency' (C.O.I.N.) is counting on 'statistical dynamics' that are 'in a box.' The region of Pakistan and Afghanistan is no longer 'boxed.' The battlefield is in flux and it is safe to say this isn't a matter of 'winning,' it is a manner of chronically changing dynamics.
The best outcome for the region is stability in the face of enormous climate instabiltiy. That would mean letting the outcome be dictated by the 'flux' until it is no longer in flux and the battlefield is stable. It may never be stable, so the global community literally has to deny the region 'arms' and the 'components' to making arms. They make their own by this point.
The USA and NATO are best to secure their OWN tribal areas and prove it is more beneficial to work with the Best Armed Warlord on the block than the Taliban. In exchange for 'safety' and 'quality of life' including food, clear water and shelter. Winter is coming after all. I strongly suggest the USA and NATO stake out their territory and enforce it in order to survive along with the people that seek them as support. That would include Marga, a former Taliban stronghold. That is, of course, if the USA and NATO do not see the benefit of moving the 'perimeter of instability' back to a region outside of Pakistan-Afghanistan.
From the New York Times:
Security in Afghanistan Is Deteriorating, Aid Groups Say (click title to entry - thank you)
By ROD NORDLAND
Published: September 11, 2010
KABUL, Afghanistan — Even as more American troops flow into the country, Afghanistan is more dangerous than it has ever been during this war, with security deteriorating in recent months, according to international organizations and humanitarian groups....
Another map by the BBC (click here) This map clearly indicates the flooding is along a river that runs through the country. Dams have broke, water is no longer contained. Go ahead, you stop it.
